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Yokuz116
05-09-2011, 05:50 PM
Now, in chapter 2, there is a car billboard that says "Car of the Year," for sale for $6,000,000. Now, using a simple time-value of money calculation, and using average inflation of the U.S. market (about 3%), and using an average of $20,000 for the price of a new car, I calculated that the setting of Enslaved is 193 years in the future, which would make it the year 2204.

Let's see if I can do this.

We want to know how long it would take $20,000, at an interest rate of %3 (.03 (inflation)) to turn into $6,000,000. To find the number of periods (years, for our purposes) in a TVM (time-value of money) calculation, we use the formula:

N = ln(FV/PV)
ln(1+i)

FV = future value = $6,000,000
PV = present value = $20,000
i = interest rate = .03
N = periods = years
ln is the natural logarithm

So, plugging in the numbers, you'll get roughly 193-194 years.

You may be thinking that $20,000 is relatively cheap for the price of a new car today, and that the inflating price of cars is not parallel to that of general inflation--I know all this. But these variables are too strong to accurately speculate with. I'm doing what I can with the tools I have, and doing it in a conservative way.

If the price of cars increases at a faster rate than the price of inflation, then the year of Enslaved would be earlier, as well as if I started with more than $20,000 for an average car, the FV would be attained sooner, thus also making the year earlier. But, like I've said, I'm trying to be conservative. I may do some research on the general trend of car prices and tweak the formula for a more accurate result, but this is a start. I hope everyone finds this interesting. Isn't math fun!? =)

Ragnarok1986
05-09-2011, 08:45 PM
Mate WTF why, really, erm I'm lost for words Lol

xRaW CaRNage x
05-10-2011, 04:01 PM
Wow math is fun but really! Lol good shit

jenkins
05-22-2011, 01:03 PM
So in 193 years time the world will be enslaved by robots?

Bummer.

TheHuskyHideawy
05-25-2011, 08:24 AM
Except I highly doubt the billboard has been updated since the collapse of civilisation. Trip mentions that the fish tank you find has survived on it's own for 200 years at the end of chapter 2, so with that and your figures, that would more acuratly place the game 393 years in the future. That said, the devs probably just put a random number on the billboard without overthinking it like that.

HalfEVILmonkey
05-27-2011, 06:29 PM
Except I highly doubt the billboard has been updated since the collapse of civilisation. Trip mentions that the fish tank you find has survived on it's own for 200 years at the end of chapter 2, so with that and your figures, that would more acuratly place the game 393 years in the future. That said, the devs probably just put a random number on the billboard without overthinking it like that.

LOL this topic is awesome. To the original topic creator, you are a lot f*cking smarter than me. I just sell houses for a living.

Coorhagon
06-06-2011, 09:16 PM
Thats dissapointing. I was hoping there would be a war against robots within my lifetime.

JieXY
06-07-2011, 06:04 PM
Very interesting deduction. Never thought of that myself before.

III Alec III
06-18-2011, 08:52 PM
Nice find. Im awful at math and had no clue what you were talking about, but I found it cool you can find stuff like that :p

Gamma
06-27-2011, 10:44 PM
Although that deduction may be true, That still only means that 2204 is when the world was reduced to ruins by the wars. The amount of overgrown vegetation in NYC would suggest that Enslaved takes place far in the distant future.

KFZ Scrubs
07-10-2011, 10:21 PM
So in 193 years time the world will be enslaved by robots?

Bummer.

Plus we get to meet trip.... so there's a positive.
Lol, I remember that equation from high school.

HalfEVILmonkey
08-22-2011, 12:55 AM
I mean, this OP's thread should be sticky'd. It is so awesome and funny.

weezy
12-16-2012, 04:37 AM
You gotta know how long that sign has been there but good research